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By Emile A. Okal (auth.), Emile A. Okal (eds.)

ISBN-10: 3034856393

ISBN-13: 9783034856393

ISBN-10: 3034856415

ISBN-13: 9783034856416

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9). The 1902 event was part of a sequence of 3 great earthquakes in western Guatemala and Chiapas, Mexico, from 1902 to 1903 (see also NISHENKO and SINGH, 1987c). The northwestern segment appears to have a much more variable recurrence history than the central or southeastern segments. WHITE and CIFUENTES (1991) have suggested that this marked variability may reflect complex interactions between the convergent and strike-slip fault systems in the vicinity of the Cocos- North American-Caribbean tripie junction.

In addition, it is not weIl understood how the San Bernardino segment interacts with the adjacent Mojave or Coachella Valley segments. Tentative estimates of the seismic potential for San Bernardino are at the 8% level for the next 10 years. 0 Washington - Oregon In recent years, scientific attention has focused on the possibility of great earthquakes occurring along the Washington-Oregon coast of the Uni ted States, in association with the subduction of the Juan de Fuca plate (see HEATON and KANAMORI, 1984; HEATON and HARTZELL, 1986).

9 cm/yr), and the amounts of displacement in 1906 indicate recurrence times of 228 - 303 and 136-169 years, respectively (see WORKING GROUP reports [1988, 1990] for a more detailed account of the models used to develop these estimates). , ~ 10%) for segment SA-1. For the southern terminus of the 1906 break, however, estimates are more equivocal, and are highly dependent on interpretation of available data (see SCHOLZ, 1985; 216 Stuart P. Nishenko PAGEOPH, SYKES and NISHENKO, 1984; THATCHER and LISOWSKI, 1987).

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Aspects of Pacific Seismicity by Emile A. Okal (auth.), Emile A. Okal (eds.)

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